Field of Science

A Christmas message from Steve Jobs for our friends in pharma: 2015 version

I had posted this at the end of 2011, and it's both fascinating and highly disconcerting at the same time that Steve Jobs's lament about product designers' focus on sales instead of product design leading to the decline of specific industries rings even more true for pharma in 2015 than it did in 2011. If anything, the string of mergers and layoffs in Big Pharma during the last four years have underscored even more what happens when an industry starts to worry more about perception and short-term shareholder value than its core reason for existence. Most would agree that that's not how you innovate and that's not how you solve the really hard problems. Let's hope Steve will have a different message for us in 2019.

I am at the end of Walter Isaacson's excellent biography of Steve Jobs and it's worth a read even if you think you know a lot about the man. Love him or hate him, it's hard to deny that Jobs was one of those who disturbed our universe in the last few decades. You can accuse him of a lot of things, but not of being a lackluster innovator or product designer.

The last chapter titled "Legacy" has a distillation of Jobs's words about innovation, creativity and the key to productive, sustainable companies. In that chapter I found this:

"I have my own theory about why decline happens at companies like IBM or Microsoft. The company does a great job, innovates and becomes a monopoly or close to it in some field, and then the quality of product becomes less important. The company starts valuing the great salesmen, because they're the ones who can move the needle on revenues, not the product engineers and designers. So the salespeople end up running the company. John Akers at IBM was a smart, eloquent, fantastic salesperson but he didn't know anything about product. The same thing happened at Xerox. When the sales guys run the company, the product guys don't matter so much, and a lot of them just turn off."

Jobs could be speaking about the modern pharmaceutical industry. There the "product designers" are the scientists of course. Although many factors have been responsible for the decline of innovation in modern pharma, one of the variables that strongly correlates is the replacement of product designers at the helm by salespeople and lawyers beginning roughly in the early 90s.

There's a profound lesson in there somewhere. Not that wishes come true, but it's Christmas, and while we don't have the freedom to innovate, hold a stable job and work on what really matters, we do have the freedom to wish. So with this generous dose of wishful thinking, I wish you all a Merry Christmas.

3 comments:

  1. Jobs was Henry Ford a century later, and deserves praise and criticism in approximately the same proportions that were heaped upon old Henry, and for some of the same reasons. Henry's reply to someone who asked him what color he could get his new car in could well have been spoken by Steve: "Any color, as long as it's black."

    However this may be, it does not seem to me that pharma mergers and layoffs have been driven by consolidating great success into monopolies. Rather, they've been driven trying to find a winning partner before the money runs out. The problem isn't lack of vision, but survival in any form. And ironically, the unpleasant strategies which you excoriate – namely, emphasis upon sales, marketing and financial manipulation – might be the best an enterprise with money in the bank but no light on the horizon can come up with either to keep the game going long enough for the scientists to roll the dice once more on a drug candidate they hope will be a winner, or alternatively, to purchase a competing enterprise which seems to have a greater chance of doing so.

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  2. Not that the quote isn't true, but isn't it obvious? It's exactly what happens at nearly every company. At the beginning, the question is "how do we make money?" and the answer is clear: design something that people want. Once you start making money it's all about how to make more, which means getting your product to the people who want it. Eventually everyone who wants it has it already, so your sales and marketing folks try to convince people who don't want it that they should want it. That proves futile, and unless you've designed something else people want, the decline begins.

    This could be applied to the Dow/Dupont disaster as easily as the pharmaceutical industry.

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  3. Jobs was wrong, of course. You know how you know? IBM was founded in 1911 and made typewriters. It's still going strong. Apple was founded 66 years later, made a big splash with the iMac, then nearly died, was resurrected by Jobs and the iPod, and now (if APPL is any indication) appears to be sinking into expensive mediocrity after Jobs' death. Similar stories can be told about other companies headed by a focus on engineering and innovation, like HP and DEC, or which are the brainchild of one brilliant megalomaniac obsessive. IBM has never been (and likely never will be) the supernova of innovation that was Apple under Jobs' personal direction, but on the other hand, their G-class star keeps trundling along, paying wages and returning value to shareholders, decade after decade. Which company will still exist in 2115? I would bet on IBM, although God knows what they'll be selling.

    Fact is, brilliant innovation is very hard and ipso facto very rare. You can't plan on it. You can't build a big business on it. You can certainly nourish it (as IBM does with Yorktown Heights, as Bell did with Bell Labs, et cetera) and you can certainly be sure you take advantage of it when it pops up. But if you're continually chasing the Next Big Thing, what you end up doing is failing to serve the ordinary needs of ordinary customers -- the kind of thing salesmen never forget to do, in their boring pursuit of this year's bottom line -- and when you have an extended dry spell, you evaporate. Or, worse, you become so disconnected from what the market really wants, you produce something truly brilliant that no one actually wants to buy. NeXT, Iridium, Laserdisc, pretty much everything Dean Kamen has invented. History is full of brilliant flops.

    That doesn't mean you want a company driven by morons who don't understand the technology they're selling. That would be stupid, just as stupid as if they didn't understand basic accounting or economics. But you also never want a company driven by people who are obsessed with originality and technical invention, because that way lies ruin as well.

    It's disastrous and stupid when businessmen fail to understand the importance of technical brilliance, of scientists and engineers. It is equally dumb when scientists and engineers fail to understand the importance, rarity and brilliance of first-class business leadership. They're different skillsets. It's very rare to find anyone with both, so generally you need strong cooperation and mutual appreciation. If anything, it's the latter that marks out the successful and long-lived firm. If you work for an outfit where the sales people dismiss the technical people as geeks and the technical people dismiss the sales people as empty suits -- look out.

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